This was published in “Historical Thinking, Future Strategies,” History Hotspot, September 2024, Korber Stiftung.
The answer to the question ‘Does democracy depend on globalization?’ can be found in another question: ‘Have the prospects of democracy around the world improved with globalization?’
Despite the initial democratic expansion following globalization in the early 21st century, experts have identified a recent trend of democratic backsliding. Nativism, ultra-nationalism and racism now challenge democracies internally, suggesting the link between democracy and globalization may have been overstated.
India has benefited from globalization but does not promote democracy abroad. Rather, Indians view their parliamentary democracy as indigenous despite it being a remnant of British colonial rule. Valuing it for its efficacy in governing their diverse country, Indians do not attempt to impose democracy upon others.
Balancing realpolitik and economic reforms
The foreign policy of India, a country with a 5,000 year-old civilization, is based on realpolitik, not similarity of values or systems. During the Cold War, the country embraced democracy without capitalism, something rare for an ally of the West. India has historically traded globally but has been inward-looking and wary of global trade in the post-colonial era. It links economic growth to social development more than to wealth generation, which validates protectionism and indigenization.
India wants to reap the benefits of globalization and free trade, but it has been slow and gradual in opening its economy. It has initiated major economic reforms, beginning in 1990–91. But opening the economy to foreign investment, reducing tariffs and removing import restrictions has been piecemeal.
India’s share of global trade has risen as it has signed free trade agreements with several Asian countries. GDP growth stood at 3–3.5 per cent per year during most of the Cold War, but for two decades after the 1990-91 economic reforms it hovered around 7% or higher. The economic boom of the last decades lifted millions out of poverty. GDP has grown from $270 billion in 1991 to $3.4 trillion today. India’s now has the world’ fastest-growing emerging economy and between 2008-2014, its GDP growth rate was closer to 8 per cent.
India’s paradox, protectionism amidst global integration
Even though India has benefitted from integration with the global economy, it has become more protectionist over the last decade than it was even in the 1990s and early 2000s. The reforms of 1990–91 were never followed by a second generation of factor market reforms relating to land, labour and capital. Between 2014 and 2021, import duties rose from 13.5 per cent to over 18 per cent.
India’s policies attract charges of hypocrisy or schizophrenia. The country seeks foreign investment but wants control over that money; it seeks state-of-the-art technology and to be a part of global supply chains, but it would like transfer of that technology to build India’s industrial base.
Even as India benefits from a globalized world, its leaders continue to debate the value of globalization and argue that it needs to re-examine the trade deals it has signed. In the words of Foreign Minister S. Jaishankar, India seeks to ‘engage America, manage China, cultivate Europe, reassure Russia, bring Japan into play, draw neighbours in, extend the neighbourhood, and expand traditional constituencies of support.’ There is no mention of globalization or democracy in this global agenda.
Seeking recognition and influence on the global stage
India’s citizens and leaders seem to think that their country deserves to be an important and powerful actor on the global stage, a claim that comes from a belief in its civilizational legacy and geostrategic location. For them, the most critical aspect of its civilizational greatness is that it is recognized by others. India expects its position in the international geo-economic order to reflect this vision.
India’s participation in existing global geopolitical and geo-economic institutions – like the United Nations, the International Monetary and the World Bank – at the same time as it helps found other groupings – like the BRICS – reflects its dichotomous policy. India wants to remain part of the existing post-Second World War order while seeking to change it from within to make it reflect a new reality.
Shaping the future of globalization and democracy
The challenge faced by India is that, instead of growing its economic might to ensure a seat at the global high table, it expects an invitation simply based on its right to be there. Rules-based global trade does not align with such a supposition.
The path that India – the world’s most populous democracy and state – chooses will impact the future of democracy and globalization. Indians, and many others around the world, view the country as an example of a rare post-colonial country that has consistently remained a democracy, built its economy and educated its people, without a military coup or civil war. But that example only shows that a commitment to democracy is not necessarily bound to the idea of globalization.